Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000797 0.000909 0.001028 0.001163 0.001312 0.001469 0.001649
2025-01-19 0.000604 0.000756 0.000929 0.001138 0.001381 0.001655 0.001984
2025-01-26 0.000525 0.000699 0.000905 0.001163 0.001476 0.001839 0.002289
2025-02-02 0.000461 0.000649 0.000881 0.001182 0.001558 0.002006 0.002576
2025-02-09 0.000396 0.000588 0.000833 0.001163 0.001586 0.002104 0.002776
2025-02-16 0.000341 0.000533 0.000787 0.001139 0.001604 0.002185 0.002954
2025-02-23 0.000309 0.000504 0.000772 0.001153 0.001666 0.002320 0.003201
2025-03-02 0.000279 0.000476 0.000755 0.001160 0.001718 0.002443 0.003433
2025-03-09 0.000241 0.000433 0.000712 0.001129 0.001716 0.002491 0.003568
2025-03-16 0.000209 0.000393 0.000671 0.001096 0.001709 0.002531 0.003691
2025-03-23 0.000188 0.000370 0.000652 0.001094 0.001742 0.002625 0.003885
2025-03-30 0.000171 0.000351 0.000636 0.001095 0.001778 0.002723 0.004086
2025-04-06 0.000152 0.000326 0.000612 0.001082 0.001795 0.002795 0.004257
2025-04-13 0.000133 0.000300 0.000584 0.001061 0.001798 0.002848 0.004402
2025-04-20 0.000124 0.000293 0.000584 0.001084 0.001867 0.002995 0.004680
2025-04-27 0.000116 0.000284 0.000582 0.001102 0.001929 0.003133 0.004946
2025-05-04 0.000102 0.000263 0.000558 0.001084 0.001934 0.003187 0.005095
2025-05-11 0.000090 0.000243 0.000533 0.001062 0.001931 0.003230 0.005227
2025-05-18 0.000083 0.000235 0.000529 0.001074 0.001982 0.003353 0.005477
2025-05-25 0.000077 0.000226 0.000522 0.001081 0.002025 0.003464 0.005711
2025-06-01 0.000066 0.000207 0.000495 0.001051 0.002007 0.003481 0.005808
2025-06-08 0.000057 0.000189 0.000469 0.001021 0.001986 0.003493 0.005895
2025-06-15 0.000052 0.000179 0.000458 0.001019 0.002011 0.003576 0.006090